Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000174 0.000193 0.000213 0.000237 0.000264 0.000293 0.000327
2025-02-16 0.000135 0.000162 0.000194 0.000234 0.000283 0.000342 0.000419
2025-02-23 0.000112 0.000142 0.000180 0.000231 0.000298 0.000385 0.000507
2025-03-02 0.000098 0.000130 0.000172 0.000232 0.000316 0.000432 0.000605
2025-03-09 0.000087 0.000120 0.000165 0.000231 0.000330 0.000473 0.000700
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000107 0.000152 0.000221 0.000328 0.000490 0.000761
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000101 0.000148 0.000223 0.000343 0.000533 0.000866
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000098 0.000148 0.000231 0.000369 0.000596 0.001015
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000091 0.000141 0.000226 0.000372 0.000623 0.001103
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000083 0.000131 0.000215 0.000364 0.000627 0.001151
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000080 0.000128 0.000216 0.000377 0.000670 0.001280
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000078 0.000128 0.000222 0.000398 0.000732 0.001453
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000218 0.000401 0.000761 0.001569
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000219 0.000416 0.000814 0.001749
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000217 0.000423 0.000855 0.001908
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000219 0.000438 0.000913 0.002117
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000062 0.000112 0.000218 0.000448 0.000963 0.002317
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000209 0.000439 0.000965 0.002396
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000210 0.000452 0.001023 0.002637
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000218 0.000482 0.001126 0.003022
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000213 0.000481 0.001154 0.003199
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000048 0.000095 0.000203 0.000466 0.001140 0.003247
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000047 0.000094 0.000204 0.000479 0.001204 0.003553